By, Matt Benjamin, Senior Markets Expert, The Oxford Club

In a presidential election, should smart business owners, CEO’s and investors vote for the Democrat or the Republican?

It’s an age-old question, and it’s becoming relevant again as the 2024 election season approaches and business owners, CEO’s and investors start eyeing the polls.

Invariably, each election delivers hysterical prognosticators who tell us the market will tank under a particular candidate.

On election night in 2016, when it looked like Donald Trump would beat Hillary Clinton, and New York Times opinion columnist and Nobel laureate Paul Krugman predicted apocalypse.

“Markets are plunging,” Krugman wrote that night. “If the question is when markets will recover, a first-pass answer is never.”

He was dead wrong. While the market went for a wild ride over Trump’s four years in the White House, the S&P 500 Index was 63% higher when he left office.

Similarly, I have Republican friends who predicted an utter market collapse under Barack Obama.

Yet the S&P was up 176% over his eight years in office.

For comparison, the market has struggled a bit during the Biden administration and is up just 14% over Joe Biden’s first 33 months as president. And the market fell almost 40% during George W. Bush’s eight years.

As the chart below shows, it doesn’t make that much difference to the market whether the Oval Office occupant is a Republican or a Democrat. (You can compare the S&P performance under presidents going back to Herbert Hoover here.)

That isn’t to say that a president’s policy choices don’t matter.

It’s All About the Policies

Regulation and tax policies influence the behavior of companies and individuals.

Just as important – and maybe more so – is fiscal stimulus. If you pump a lot of money into the economy, chances are that consumers and businesses will spend it. And that spending will drive corporate profits up and, eventually, stock prices higher.

And boy, oh boy, have we had fiscal stimulus in the past few years!

Trump’s 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act amounted to $3 trillion in economic stimulus over 10 years. That’s bigger (as a percentage of GDP) than the entire New Deal pushed through under Franklin Roosevelt. The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act of 2020 amounted to another $2 trillion. Overall, Trump’s administration enacted about $6 trillion in stimulus spending.

Biden has tried to match that. His administration has overseen the passage of five pieces of stimulus legislation that total just over $5 trillion.

As you can see in the table below, these numbers (all adjusted for inflation) dwarf both the New Deal and the Marshall Plan.

Yes, I’m well aware most of this government largesse is deficit spending, and that the national debt has ballooned to more than $33 trillion. And yes, eventually, there will be consequences to this uncontrolled borrowing.

Monetary policy, however, matters just as much as fiscal policy. And unfortunately for Biden, the ZIRP – zero interest rate policy – era is over. Just about 13 months into Biden’s term, the Federal Reserve embarked on the steepest interest rate hiking cycle in four decades.

That marked the end of easy money.

What Will 2024 Bring?
The 2024 presidential election could be very important indeed, and you’ll want to have a plan for it no matter who wins.

The reality is that smart American businesses find ways to succeed no matter who’s in charge.

Executives depend on the quality of their people to achieve their corporate and personal career goals. It is an old adage – and a true one – that the best jockey cannot win races if he only rides slow horses. A better understanding of the skills and abilities of executive recruiters will enable any manager to greatly increase the quality of his hiring decisions, and thereby enhance his own career!

Some managers are aware and take full advantage of the best possible means of identifying and selecting top quality candidates for critical staff openings. However, many do not. Frequently, this stems from misconceptions regarding the merits of utilizing the services provided by topflight executive recruiting firms.

By a better understanding of these realities, hiring managers will dramatically improve their ability to secure the most qualified candidates in a timely manner.

Misconception # 1: Companies Can Find the Same Talent That Executive Recruiters Can.

With the rise in popularity of on-line job boards and networking platforms, many companies mistakenly believe that these sources contain the same talent that can be found through executive search firms.

This belief couldn’t be further from the truth. Executive recruiters don’t just post ads on job boards to find qualified applicants. Typically, they focus on specific industries, and many even specialize by types of positions within those industries. The benefits of doing so are enormous. It allows them to invest tremendous time and energy forging relationships with high performing candidates within these niche markets, learning the types of positions in-demand people would see as advancing their careers.

Professionals who genuinely excel have neither the time nor desire to peruse on-line ads or to respond to on-line inquiries. It is only when a search consultant personally approaches them that the best people take the step to becoming available for your firm.

Good recruiters invest countless hours establishing unique connections with key performers. These connections allow access to talent pools built over many years…and which are available through no other sources.

This, along with the ability of executive recruiters to carefully screen and evaluate the best candidates, is what allows them to bring the strongest talent to a company’s attention. Companies that rely on job boards or networking platforms will never find the outstanding quality of talent that executive recruiters can provide.

Misconception #2: The Internal Staff Can Do the Same Job as a Quality Executive Search Firm.

While this belief is prevalent within some firms, a thoughtful analysis will prove the opposite. Executive recruiters make a living by finding talent that companies cannot find on their own. While in-house resources may be effective for lower level roles, it makes sense for hiring managers to give themselves every opportunity to interview the very best candidates.

Moreover, internal recruiters typically spend their time vetting applicants who apply or can be found through on-line portals. Search firms focus on finding superior candidates who are successful in their present situation. This very different methodology results in a very different level of candidate.

The ability to call proven performers with direct competitors to discuss career options is a significant factor in what sets professional recruiters apart from internal recruiters or HR people. Having the ability to reach out to these peak performers offers hiring managers access to highly-sought-after candidates they would never see otherwise.

What experienced manager has not extended an offer to a candidate who would have helped the manager’s company and career enormously – only to receive a turndown? In many instances, the manager is not emphasizing the specific elements of the opportunity which are of greatest interest to the candidate. These quality performers are not actively looking, and may need to be “sold.” While there are various reasons why good candidates are open to making a change, the fact is that virtually none would be comfortable sharing those concerns with an internal recruiter.

Professional recruiters have great expertise in developing in-depth individual relationships with the candidates they present. As part of a professional recruiter’s service, they will provide the candidate’s primary motivators to making a move – and thereby reduce or eliminate turndowns and assure the manager of securing the best talent available.

Misconception #3: Executive Recruiters Are Too Expensive.

Executive recruiters report that many of the companies that can most benefit from their services employ internal recruiters. This may lead to the belief that utilizing executive search firms when internal recruiters or HR people are employed is not cost effective.

A simple cost analysis will show otherwise. Consider the combined cost of salaries and benefits of HR personnel and internal “recruiters”, as well as the time that HR people spend doing non-productive interviews with unqualified candidates. These direct and indirect costs are substantially higher than paying out a one-time fee for an executive recruiter’s services.

Executive recruiters eliminate the time and expense required by a firm to find, hire, and train a new internal “recruiter”. And any truly successful in-house recruiter will soon leave his salaried position to become a successful executive search consultant.

Additionally, your chances of securing a long-term contributor are much better if an experienced executive search consultant is involved. Studies have shown that a bad hire costs companies three times more than an employee’s annual salary.

With executive recruiters, their work isn’t done once a candidate has been placed successfully. A guarantee covering the candidate during the probationary period is standard in the industry. Seasoned recruiters make a point of periodically checking in with candidates that they have placed and will share any concerns with the hiring manager. This is invaluable information and directly contributes to a long-term successful employee… and a highly productive staff.

Internal recruiting can be a good solution to filling less critical positions. They can screen the candidates that apply via the company portal and can provide hiring managers with candidates for lower end roles.

However, for more significant positions, it is an excellent and necessary business decision to utilize the services of a highly skilled executive recruiter with a strong industry focus.

At some point, every business owner leaves the company, either voluntarily through retirement or otherwise. Some businesses will outlive their founders. Others can’t survive without the continued involvement of a key owner-employee. And a few business concepts — from horse-drawn buggies to video rental stores — eventually lose relevance. Here’s an overview of the options for owners in this phase of the business lifecycle.

Selling the Business

Many owners cash out by selling their business interests to the remaining owners, family members, employees, private equity firms, competitors, or other outsiders. A sale provides owners with cash flow to fund retirement and pass along to their heirs.

Steps to make your business sale-ready may include:

• Divesting less-desirable assets,
• Buying out difficult shareholders,
• Trimming excessive overhead costs, and
• Transitioning customer accounts to employees who will continue working for the business after the deal closes.

Your professional advisors can help position your business for sale and maximize the selling price. They can also help identify potential buyers, compile financial documents for prospective buyers, set a reasonable asking price and recommend alternative deal structures.

After closing, buyers might ask key owner-employees to continue working for the business as an employee or consultant. These arrangements are usually temporary and go hand-in-hand with a noncompete agreement and/or an earnout provision, where a portion of the purchase price is contingent on the company meeting certain financial benchmarks in the future. It’s important to understand the tax obligations associated with these arrangements — they may be treated differently than capital gains from sales proceeds.

Going Public

With a professional management team in place and audited financial statements, larger companies might be positioned to make an initial public offering (IPO). This can be a daunting endeavor, but an experienced professional advisor can help navigate the details.

When contemplating an IPO, it’s important to carefully estimate the costs associated with going, and being, public. Beyond the initial registration costs, publicly traded companies are subject to extensive ongoing filing and disclosure requirements with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reorganization

When a mature business’s performance starts to decline, it can potentially be saved with a turnaround (or reorganization) plan. Reorganizing can provide a fresh start, especially in today’s volatile economy. For instance, management might:

• Renegotiate debt terms,
• Close unprofitable segments,
• Refocus on core business operations, and
• Revise its marketing strategy.

Professional advisors are central to an effective turnaround. They can help you get the business back on track by creating short-term cash flow projections and monitoring progress. Real-time tracking allows you to pivot as needed and improves the odds of success.

Once a turnaround is successfully completed, the business could be positioned for a sale. Conversely, failed turnaround attempts may result in a distressed business sale or an asset liquidation.

Liquidation

Some businesses are no longer viable. In this situation, the owner will need to sell assets, repay creditors and wind down operations. This includes filing final tax returns.

Selling assets at auction is usually the method of last resort because you’ll receive pennies on the dollars you’ve invested. Professional advisors can help liquidating businesses find competitors, suppliers and even customers who might be willing to buy the assets for a fair price. When creditors are involved, liquidation might require a formal bankruptcy proceeding. Your advisors can guide you through this process.

Ask the Pros

Businesses need guidance from experienced professional advisors as they mature and evolve. Sometimes long-term plans may need to be revised as market conditions and owners’ personal circumstances change. If you haven’t done so already, discuss exit strategy options with your tax and legal advisors. They can help determine the optimal path based on your business and personal situation.

By Larry Adams

WOODWORKING NETWORK

October 23, 2023

Custom and semi-custom cabinet sales increased from August 2022 to August 2022, rising by 11.4 percent and 6.3 percent respectively. These positive gains, however, were muted by stock sales, which took a YTD drop of 22 percent.

According to the Kitchen Cabinet Manufacturers Association’s Trend of Business Report, August’s year-to-date sales were $1,879,829 in August 2022 and rose 1.7 percent to $1,911,327 in August 2023.

In terms of monthly sales comparison, August 2023 compared to August 2022 is down 7.4 percent. However, when compared to July 2023 numbers, which were $211,047, sales were up 12.5 percent.

Estimated year-to-date sales through August were $11,847,800, according to KCMA statistics. In July 2023, YTD sales were $10,357,800.

Jon Jennings, Forbes Councils Member

Forbes Business Council

In today’s fiercely competitive market, the talent behind a company’s pricing strategy can significantly influence its trajectory. Finding the ideal fit for such a pivotal role can be daunting. This is where executive recruiters can come into play, bridging the gap between businesses and top-tier talent.

But how can businesses ensure they select the right recruiter for their unique needs? Let’s look at the intricacies of executive recruitment, highlighting the traits of effective recruiters and offering a road map for businesses to find their perfect match.

Traits Of A Skilled Executive Recruiter

A recruiter’s merit doesn’t only lie in their ability to spot talent but also in their understanding of the nuances of the industry. Here are some pivotal traits that I have found set top-tier recruiters apart:

1. Deep Industry Knowledge

To be truly effective, recruiters should possess an in-depth understanding of the industry they serve. This includes staying updated with market trends, recognizing the intricacies of pricing strategy roles and being aware of emerging opportunities and challenges. Their insights should be actionable, enabling them to spot and attract talent that’s not just qualified but is also poised to innovate and lead.

2. Assessment Of Cultural Fit

Every organization boasts its own unique culture. A seasoned recruiter shouldn’t just scout for skills; they should also ensure candidates resonate with a company’s ethos. This alignment between a candidate’s values and a company’s culture can be the differentiator between a good hire and a great one, and it often involves an intricate dance of assessing candidates’ soft skills, adaptability, and alignment with organizational values.

3. Broad And Deep Networking Capabilities

A hallmark of an experienced recruiter is their diverse network. Their connections should range from budding professionals in the field to seasoned industry stalwarts, ensuring a rich talent pool to choose from. This network is typically nurtured over years and is often global, ensuring a diverse mix of candidates from various backgrounds and expertise levels.

Key Questions To Guide Your Recruiter Selection

Selecting the right executive recruiter is akin to choosing a strategic business partner. Their expertise and network can have a profound impact on your company’s future leadership. To make an informed choice, it’s essential to initiate a meaningful dialogue and ask pertinent questions. Here are some questions that can shed light on a recruiter’s capabilities and fit:

• “How do you stay updated with industry trends?”This question can reveal the recruiter’s commitment to continuous learning and staying ahead in the ever-evolving landscape of pricing strategy.
• “Can you provide examples of successful placements you’ve made in the pricing strategy domain?”Past success can be an indicator of their understanding of the role, their network’s quality, and their ability to match candidates effectively with organizational needs.
• “How do you assess cultural fit?”Understanding their methodology can offer insights into the depth and breadth of their evaluation process.
• “What’s your approach to passive candidates?”This can help determine their proactive nature and their ability to engage candidates who might not be actively looking but could be the perfect fit for your needs.
• “How do you handle confidentiality throughout the hiring process?”The ability to ensure discretion is vital, especially when the recruiter will be dealing with high-level positions and candidates.
• “What post-placement support do you offer?”This gauges their commitment to long-term success and not just a one-time placement. It can also provide insights into how they handle situations if initial placements don’t work out.
• “How do you customize your approach for each client?”Every company is unique, and a standardized approach might not always yield the best results. Their answer can reveal their adaptability and client-centric focus.

When posing these questions, evaluate not just the answers but also the depth, clarity, and specificity with which the prospective recruiter responds. Their willingness to engage, clarify doubts and provide detailed insights can often serve as strong indicators of their commitment and expertise in the realm of executive recruitment.

Navigating Challenges In Engaging Executive Recruiters

The recruitment journey can present certain hurdles, but by understanding these challenges upfront, you can devise strategies to mitigate them so that your engagement with a recruiter can be both efficient and effective. Here are a few to keep in mind.

• Niche Expertise: While many recruiters are available, not all will have specialized knowledge in the pricing strategy realm. Ensure your chosen recruiter is well-versed in your industry.
• Balancing Reliance: While leveraging a recruiter’s expertise is beneficial, solely depending on them without internal hiring efforts can be restrictive. Try to find the sweet spot between external recruitment and in-house initiatives and be ready to adjust your expectations and strategies as needed.
• Cost Considerations: Top-tier executive recruitment often comes with a price tag, so make sure this step fits within your budget. In my experience in this industry, however, the long-term value of securing the right talent can often justify the initial investment.

There are multiple ways you can further ensure your recruitment journey goes smoothly. Maintain a transparent communication channel with your recruiter. Having open discussions about requirements, potential challenges and specific expectations can streamline the process. I also recommend regularly touching base with your recruiter; these check-ins can provide updates and feedback that may highlight when a strategic shift is necessary.

Feedback is gold, so consider posting any placement, successful or otherwise, and sharing your feedback. This iterative feedback loop can help refine future searches for stronger and more effective partnerships.

Conclusion

Talent acquisition is nuanced. By understanding what to look for in an executive recruiter and by being aware of potential challenges, you can make informed, strategic decisions for your company. Transparency, active engagement, and feedback can help you turn potential obstacles into steppingstones for a more refined and effective recruitment process.

In recent years, recycled building materials have become increasingly popular in the world of construction and home design. From glass to newspaper, your recyclables are being turned into a wide range of unique and useful building materials. Here’s a closer look at some of the latest advancements.

Recycled Glass
Recycled glass has been repurposed into many different materials for construction projects. From asphalt to glass bricks to fiberglass insulation, it’s a versatile material known for its durability. In home design, recycled glass can be used to create decorative tiles. These tiles can be used anywhere normal ceramic tiles would be installed – kitchen backsplashes, shower walls, even pool floors. The best aspect of using recycled glass tiles is that they create a distinct appearance that other materials don’t offer.

Recycled glass can also be used in large-scale products like countertops and flooring to give a decorative finish.

Newspaper Wood
Newspaper wood turns paper back into wood. To form this material, many sheets of paper are glued together then rolled and compressed into solid logs. When a newspaper wood log is cut, the layers of paper mimic the growth rings of a tree and therefore resemble the aesthetics of real wood. Newspaper wood can be treated like most other wood products by cutting, milling, sanding, and finishing with paint or varnish.

Ecobricks
Ecobricks are made directly from plastic waste pollution to reduce the harmful effect that plastic has on the environment. Ecobricks are plastic bottles that are filled with small pieces of plastic waste to create a solid plastic brick. These bricks can then be used to construct buildings or architectural elements in your yard.

Rubber Tires
Tires take 50-80 years to break down in a landfill, but they are highly useful when recycled into building materials. Shredded or chipped tire rubber can be used as a lightweight and flexible fill material in construction projects like highway embankments and retaining walls.

The same shredded rubber can be used as mulch in landscaping and gardening. Recycled tire rubber is also frequently used to create impact-absorbing surfaces for playgrounds, sports fields, and athletic tracks.

There are many interesting and inventive ways that your recyclables are being turned into building materials. As the construction industry continues to strive for lower carbon emissions, we’re sure to see more sustainable building materials develop in the coming years.

Tax Deductions: Right, Wrong, and Risky

by Charles RenwickSeptember 27, 2023

PLANNING FOR TAXES

Tax law is not just a complex matrix of rules and regulations—it’s a world in which interpretation and decision-making play vital roles. Deciding how to handle deductions and tax positions is critical to tax planning for individuals and businesses alike.

Tread too carefully, and you might miss out on legitimate savings. Tread too recklessly, and you might find yourself on the wrong side of an audit or, worse, legal action. This article aims to help you find the sweet spot between conservative, aggressive, and illegal tax positions.

The three distinctions:

1. Conservative approach:Conservative deductions and tax positions are well within the precise boundaries of tax laws. You might choose not to take certain deductions even though those deductions are legitimate. By taking a conservative approach:

• You minimize the risk of an audit
• You may, however, miss out on potential deductions that could be legitimately claimed

2. Aggressive approach:Aggressive deductions and positions push the boundaries of what’s acceptable within tax law. For example, you might deduct a business trip to the beach. While they might be legal, they can raise red flags. This approach:

• Increases the risk of an audit or inquiry
• Maximizes potential savings if all deductions are ultimately deemed legitimate
• Requires a deeper understanding and substantial documentation to back up each deduction

3. Tax fraud:Fraudulent deductions, positions, and omissions clearly and knowingly violate tax laws. For example, if you’re required to disclose foreign bank accounts and choose not to disclose them to hide income. Individuals or businesses that opt for this path:

• Face significant risks, including hefty fines, penalties, and potential legal action
• Compromise their reputation and credibility

Tips for making the right deduction choices:

1. Understand the boundaries:Familiarize yourself with tax laws and the latest interpretations. IRS publications, tax seminars, and professional consultations can be valuable resources.
2. Document everything:Documentation is critical whether you decide to be conservative or aggressive with your deductions. Detailed records can provide the necessary justification for deductions if questioned.
3. Seek expert advice:A tax professional can offer guidance on where the line is drawn between aggressive and illegal, helping you make informed decisions.
4. Consider your risk tolerance:While being aggressive might offer more savings, it comes with heightened risks. Evaluate your comfort level with these risks before deciding on your approach.
5. Stay updated:Tax laws and interpretations change. Regularly reviewing updates ensures that what was once considered an aggressive deduction hasn’t shifted into the realm of the illegal, or vice versa.

A fourth distinction: honest mistakes

Even with the best intentions, mistakes can happen. Tax codes are extensive and intricate, and misinterpretations are not uncommon. An “honest mistake” is an unintentional error in understanding or applying a tax rule. It’s distinct from aggressive or illegal deductions in that there’s no intent to deceive or manipulate the system.

However, it’s essential to understand that accountability still applies, even when you make a mistake. The IRS can still impose penalties or require back payments. The severity often depends on the error’s nature and its perceived intent. Additionally, once you become aware of a mistake, taking the initiative to correct the error can demonstrate your commitment to compliance.

Right, wrong, and in between

“Aggressive” doesn’t necessarily mean “wrong,” just as “conservative” doesn’t always mean “safe.” The key is understanding the nuances of tax laws and where each deduction falls on the spectrum of conservative to illegal.

As the adage goes, “It’s not about what you make, but what you keep.” To keep more of your earnings, remember to walk the tightrope of tax deductions with balance, knowledge, and care.